What is my Prescott view worth? Home View Values, should they affect price?

In Prescott, Arizona it’s WILD and CRAZY times! So natually, there’s a lot of buzz about home views and whether or not they affect the home value. “Hey mister, that beautiful brick wall out the window is a P.E.R.FECTO location to hang that painting of your dog drinking a latte on Thursday!” Let’s see… who can guess how many factors go into home-value? Correct, “Always one more!” Let’s talk about a few and delve into the psyche of the home-buyer and home-seller, and see if we can’t really mess things up.

Home-Seller/Builder – This could be a person who just owns a previously owned home they purchased off the market, or it could represent someone who is building their own custom home. This really doesn’t refer to developers.

Because of the amount of blood, sweat, and tears that inevitably (and sometimes literally) get dumped into building a home (or refurbishing an existing home to improve it) the home always has a bit of nostalgia connected to the seller. The amount of time lived in a home can also affect the psyche of the seller; I.E. if the seller has raised a family of llamas in the home. Unfortunately, none of these things matter when it comes to pricing a home. The only thing that matters is how the final product presents itself when it comes on the market…without the llamas. There may be some “value” in nostalgia if it’s connected to a famous event or if the home was owned by a person of renown, but those situations are very rare.

One way that I look at homes is with a “ground-zero” approach. Not the one where someone says, “That looks like GROUND ZERO!! BOMB IT!!!” Let me give you an example of what I mean. A seller will inform me, “Hey Matt, we’ve recently repainted the home! Aren’t you XCITED?!” After we do the happy-dance, I take that statement and apply the “ground-zero” rule. Should a home-buyer, purchasing a new place to live, expect the paint to look good? The answer is yes. A nice looking paint job is ground-zero. All homes should have nice looking paint. But do they? The answer is no. What makes new paint worth more? The answer is nothing. Chipped, old paint actually devalues the property. New paint just brings it up to ground-zero. Home buyers most likely will not even see the paint (other than observing its color) unless it’s chipped or displayed bad workmanship. Adding value to a paint job might include a case study in feng shui… or just drink a margarita. The appeal of the home, due to its amazing paint job, might add value. Color doesn’t add value, a successful final result adds value. A good rule of thumb to follow is “Save the sterogram paint job for your next house, and go neutral.

Remember, when selling a home, you’re job is to justify to the buyer why the home is worth what you’re asking. Because “Fred built the deck 10 years ago with his bare hands” does not constitute a price hike over the home next door wherein the deck was put it by the developer. In fact, any home improvement project that was not completed by a professional will bring into question warranties and workmanship issues. So, be sure you get proper permits and oversight when deciding to re-tile that floor. And remember, it’s not how much work you put into it, it’s about the final result.

Ground-Zero approach to VIEWS. So much has been said about views recently in Real Estate conventions, classes, etc… that no one seems to know what’s going on. I’ve heard recently (2014-15) that views do not factor into home value. This came from a certified continuing education teacher who practices real estate in the area. I’ve also heard that views are a huge percentage of the value of a property. So…let’s look at it logically from the Ground-Zero perspective.

Should all homes have a great view? The answer is yes. But do they? The answer is no. Like paint, I then ask the same questions. Is the location of the property actually adding value, or is detracting value? When examining this question, it’s like examining the sides of a coin. Same coin, different images, but the coin is worthless with one side removed. If everyone had great views, views would not be accounted for. What makes a 1,200sf condo on the 10th floor worth more than the one on the 2nd? Again, a lot of other factors come into play. But let’s just examine the value of a home using the “VIEW FACTOR”.

I’ve spent a lot of time analyzing data over the years in Prescott, Arizona…I mean a lot of time. As in every day for 10 years. I’ve also photographed over 4,000 properties in the area for existing agents and myself. I go home, I work on each photo individually, I upload the data to the MLS, write in the descriptions, create the virtual tour, add all the information for the agent, and study the results of the hits. I know which photos get the most hits, and I know which descriptions to use to procure the most views. Speaking firsthand to hundreds of home-owners that inevitably follow me around the home and provide a hopeful narrative to “why their home is worth what they’re asking”, I indubitably hear about views.

“Look at that view!” “You won’t get a view like anywhere else, I guarantee!” “That’s a million dollar view right there!” Before I was a Realtor, I could say certain things like, “Really…? Why not sell your rag-tag mobile home on that 5 acre lot for $1.2 million then?”  Or better yet, “why is the vacant land across the street selling for $100,000 less than yours?” The perception of value from the perspective of the seller is not based on the Ground-Zero method. In truth, most sellers are thinking about other things…usually money…or better yet, what that money will buy them.

Location, Location, Location. Why is it important? Because it’s the one thing (for better or worse) that cannot change. The location of a property is intrinsic to its value because the property is attached to the earth. It IS the earth. “VIEWS” can and do change. Over time, a view can be hindered by other structures, trees, or commercial real estate growth. An owner of property actually has no right to sell a view, because they don’t own it. The only way to own a view is to own the entire landscape of what that property visually encompasses. Some people have this luxury, most do not. What most home owners are actually selling is the opportunity to enjoy “said” view.

What value do views actually provide?

Well, for one, views provide a sense of space, and for some a sense of power. Space may not be available (high-rise buildings), but views may provide people with a feeling of freedom, and/or perspective. I’ve never heard any human complain about a “view” being too good. For instance, in the movie theater; I never hear someone say, “This view is too perfect, let’s move to front row where everything will be blurry and our necks will kink!” Likewise, I also don’t see people waiting for the Macy’s Day Parade in New York City (for 5 hours ahead of time in the freezing cold) say, “Let’s trade our unobstructed view with someone 15 rows back!” Same goes for sporting events and the arts. The best seats cost the most money. Why? Because of the view and perspective they provide.

Likewise in real estate, a view or perspective of a geological feature (like a mountain) may in fact increase the value of that property. But by how much?

Prescott Valley Sunrise Looking Toward Granite Dells and Thumb Butte

Years of studying this kind of data has led me to believe that certain views are worth more than others in Prescott.  A home may have a great view but be in an undesirable neighborhood for some. Meaning that a great view-property built next to a factory will not sell for the same price as a similar property built in a gated community, although both may have similar views. Also, homes that are built on hills in a pine forest may have more value that homes that are built on a hill in the middle of a city. Quality of air due to elevation also plays a part, as does what the view is looking at. Views of Thumb Butte rate higher than views of the San Francisco Peaks. However, views of Thumb Butte from Prescott Valley rank lower than views of Granite Mountain. The reason, Thumb Butte blends into the backdrop of the surrounding mountains from the perspective of most Prescott Valley homes. All of these factors have % values that can be included in the home valuation process. Views of a body of water rank high, but not as high as owning property right on the water. Because water is a scarce commodity in Arizona, water views are coveted.

Factoring in all the measurable data to determine the value of a home is what any good agent should do. I then apply the Ground-Zero rule and the percentages I’ve calculated to the proposed property for sale.

1. Should all (x) homes have a great view? Yes. Do they? (Yes or no) = +/- $(%)

2. Is the view of Granite Mountain? $(%), Thumb Butte? $(%), Granite Dells? $(%), and from what perspective? Each of these factors gives me an idea, based on previous home sale prices, to what a home will actually sell for. Once again, what a person believes their view is worth does not determine the actual value of the property. If factoring the “VIEW” alone, with no other differences, the percentages are actually very small. However, those small percentages may in fact increase the value of your Prescott area home by 2-20%.

Hassayampa Golf Club may have a buyer

Hassayampa Golf Clubhouse located in Prescott, Arizona. Prescott's best agent for real estate
Hoamco, the managing HOA at Hassayampa Village in Prescott, AZ, announced today that two perspective buyers are in contract for the Golf Club in west Prescott.

Quoting Harvey Shrednick, president of Hoamco, “Based on a phone conversation with the Executive Vice President of Desert Troon, we were informed that the Golf Club has signed contracts with two prospective buyers, one with significant golf course management experience. Both potential buyers are completing extensive due diligence, with Desert Troon anticipating a Golf Club sale resolution within the next month. We will continue to keep you advised as more details become available.

This news comes on the tail of a bankruptcy filed by Hassayampa Golf Club on March 30, 2012, in the Arizona Bankruptcy Court. The golf club was closed, and has sat vacant since, leaving homeowners and members with a bad taste in their mouth…but hopeful that a reputable company will see the value Hassayampa offers and purchase it.

For homeowners and potential buyers, this could mean price hikes in the Village. The Hassayampa Village has always been a prestigeous location, but housing prices have definitely suffered from the closure of the golf club, club house, pool, and club amenities.

Hassayampa luxury condo for sale. Prices rise as Golf Club finds new ownership

I held an open house during the annual Parade of Homes and had more than 50 people through the condo I have for sale. The single most asked question was “what do you know about the golf course reopening?” Because there is no definitive answer to this question, many home-seekers keep right on seeking.

As a result of this news, one of my listings has increased in price in the Hassayampa. I’m sure more will follow suit.

Hassayampa Village luxury golf homes for sale in Prescott, Arizona

Prescott, AZ Distressed Property Climate – aka Foreclosures

A five year look at the distressed market in Prescott, Arizona.

Imagine still using your old “bag-car phone”. You remember, that big soft-case with a huge phone in it that still had a spiral cable attached to it? Or even the cell phone that flipped open with an LCD screen that looked like a calculator display… you know, the ones with the large buttons you actually had to press? It took a little research, but in the photos below you can see how far we’ve progressed. The Motorola phone in the center is from 1993. The phone on the right is the future. The Samsung Galaxy S6. And of course the phone on the left is from the 80’s… We used to see this on Miami Vice!

phones

Like these examples, it’s often difficult to explain to people the reason to change their minds when it comes to understanding the foreclosure market. Some people just want to believe that it’s still 2003.

History, and a brief explanation:

Housing bubble in Prescott Arizona

Investor Heaven, Homeowner Heck

To explain the climate in Prescott, Arizona, we must look at national data to where Arizona was in regards to distressed properties compared to the rest of the nation. Understanding this helps us better to see why investors were clamoring to scrape up all the foreclosures they could get their hands on the last 5 years. Prescott was literally the 5th hardest hit economy (in regards to negative equity) in the entire United States! Because Matt was parsing data from companies like CoreLogic, during this period he had his hands on the best data available to anyone. He was also working with investors to buy up broken subdivisions across the United States which had been abandoned. The data helped in locating the hardest hit areas, and with a little scraping, helped find the asset managers. As anyone can see, the southwest and Florida were hit the hardest.

Foreclosures and what it means to investors in Prescott, AZ

This was a horrible time for many families across the United States. We saw housing prices rise to ridiculous levels, and with no buyers and no way to pay the ARMs, the market simply crashed. People had very little to no investment in their mortgages…as a result, many walked away. Consequently, many innocent people were also taken down in the process. Those who owned their homes for 30 years, and were finally able to see some advantage to home ownership, saw their equity stripped away along with their retirement securities.Of course as the saying goes, “One man’s trash is another man’s treasure.” Investors couldn’t move fast enough to snap up available properties on the market each day. At one point, Prescott was 55% upside down.

Is the foreclosure market still HOT?

In 2005, while working with several dozen REALTORS and developers, we predicted that the nail would not be driven in the proverbial coffin of foreclosures until 2015. The real estate bubble was realized when we personally witnessed property in Antelope Meadows purchased at $50,000 being sold at $300,000 within one year. “Prescott simply does not have the infrastructure to withstand this bubble. Homeowners can’t afford to live in their own hometown any longer.“If you’re thinking that the foreclosure market is still HOT in Prescott…think again. This market is drying up, Prescott homeowners! Rejoice and be glad, the comps on your street include almost no foreclosures, and those numbers will continue to drop even further. The housing market has finally adjusted in Prescott.

What about the investors and “flippers”?

There will always be foreclosures and short-sales. Unfortunately, it’s not a secret any longer. The foreclosure crises brought the “best kept secret for investing in real estate” into the forefront of all media outlets. Investors simply have to be linked to an agent that understands the marketplace and can implement the technology to put the investor on the front-lines. Contact our team today, and let us put you on auto pilot! You’ll receive all the latest property information! If you’re an investor looking to flip houses, you definitely want to be on his short list of immediate contacts to receive hot deals BEFORE they hit the market!

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